Sunday, November 02, 2008

The Polls

Most of us probably assume that polling results just reflect the answers people give on polling questions.

Silly us.

As it turns out, the answers are "weighted" or filtered by assumptions the polsters make, like the assumptions pollsters make about the likely turnout of voters from either party. So even if more people actually said they were voting for McCain, but the polster assumed that Democratic turnout would be higher, Obama might come out ahead in the polls.

Let's hope and pray their assumptions are wrong. Read Hugh Hewitt for a better explanation.

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